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NEW ORLEANS (WGNO) — The Latest on tropical weather in the northern gulf and Greater New Orleans (all times local):

4:00 AM

Latest update on #Sally has max winds of 85mph, Category 1 Hurricane. WNW at 2mph. System stalling & beginning slow crawl northward. Landfall now expected mid-morning-late afternoon Wednesday near MS/AL state line.

HURRICANE WARNING DROPPED for New Orleans Metro — Replaced with Tropical Storm Warning. FLASH FLOOD WATCH cancelled for all of Southeast Louisiana.

Trend continues to be your friend in Southeast Louisiana — Overnight model guidance continues its pivot east. This trend would drastically reduce wind/rain impacts for inland southeast Louisiana. Winds 35-50mph in New Orleans Metro on current path.

That’s minimal. Isolated power outage. Rainfall would also be minimal at .5-1.5” maximum. We see more than that with a summertime thunderstorm. Coastal flooding still a big-time concern of 6-9 feet from Mouth of MS River to MS coast.

I would be more concerned along the southeast Mississippi/south Alabama/FL Panhandle, where significant flash flooding and storm surge will be significant as it moves north by late Tuesday/early Wednesday.Mobile Bay could see 6-9 feet of storm surge. 12-18+” of rainfall, isolated 25-30″ amounts.